Cumulative live birth calculator
How many IVF cycles might I need?
Your combined chance of a live birth across a number of transfers.
At the time of egg collection
Planned or already available embryos
These are example numbers. Replace them with yours, then press Calculate.
Numbers changed. Press Update my result to see your new answer.
Strong cumulative odds. Bear in mind this assumes enough embryos are available for the number of transfers entered.
This is a guide, not a diagnosis. Share the result with your doctor.
Your result on the scale
The ranges this calculator uses. Yours is highlighted.
Your numbers
Everything worked out from what you entered.
- Per-transfer chance
- about 35%
- Transfers
- 3
- Cumulative chance
- about 73%
- Chance of none
- about 27%
- Assumption
- each transfer treated as independent
What each result means
Your result is highlighted. Your own clinic's advice always comes first.
Low even across several transfers. This is the point at which donor eggs are usually discussed openly, because the arithmetic does not improve much with more own-egg attempts.
Meaningful but well under even odds. Planning for more than one transfer, financially and emotionally, is realistic.
A reasonable cumulative chance. Most people who succeed do so within the first three transfers.
Strong cumulative odds. Bear in mind this assumes enough embryos are available for the number of transfers entered.
Where this fits in your journey
The usual order, from trying to conceive to pregnancy. Not everyone needs every stage. This calculator belongs to stage 3.
- Stage 1Trying to get pregnant3 calculators
- Stage 2I have test results10 calculators
- Stage 3Planning IVFYou are here
- Stage 4During an IVF cycle15 calculators
- Stage 5Pregnant after IVF4 calculators
Planning IVF
Chances, costs and options, before you start.
- Your chances
- Costs and time
- Egg freezing
This calculator: How many IVF cycles might I need?
How this is worked out
Population estimateAn average for people with your inputs, not a prediction for you. Individual outcomes vary widely around it.
The chance of at least one live birth across several transfers. Cumulative odds rise with each attempt, which is why single-cycle figures understate what a full course offers.
About this calculator
?What it tells you
How your chance builds over 3 to 6 cycles. Your combined chance of a live birth across a number of transfers.
✓When to use it
When deciding how many cycles to budget for
iWhat you need
- Your age (years)
- Number of transfers (transfers)
!What it cannot tell you
Assumes each transfer is independent, which makes this an optimistic bound rather than a forecast.
Common questions
Why is this higher than the single-cycle number?
Because each additional transfer is another chance. Three transfers at 27% each give roughly a 61% chance of at least one live birth, provided embryos are available.
Is the independence assumption realistic?
Not entirely. It overestimates, because those who fail repeatedly tend to have below-average odds. Published cumulative rates from real cohorts run somewhat lower than this calculation.
Do I need that many embryos?
Yes — the figure assumes a transfer actually happens each time. If fewer embryos are available, the realistic cumulative chance is lower.
Sources
Calculated as 1 minus the probability of failure raised to the number of transfers, using the HFEA 2023 age bands for live birth per transfer. This treats each transfer as independent, which slightly overstates the true figure: people who do not succeed early tend to have lower per-transfer odds than the age average. Treat it as an optimistic bound, not a prediction.
In an emergency
If you have any of the warning signs listed here, don't wait for a test result or a calculator. Get help now.
Also call your IVF clinic. Most clinics give an emergency number on your treatment or discharge sheet. Save it in your phone now, before you need it.
After egg collection or during stimulation
- Severe pain or swelling in your tummy
- Short of breath, or pain when breathing
- Passing very little urine
- Fast weight gain, about 1 kg or more in a day
- Fever or shivering
In early pregnancy
- Severe pain in your tummy, often on one side
- Pain at the tip of your shoulder
- Heavy bleeding, soaking a pad in an hour
- Feeling faint, dizzy or collapsing
Related calculators
- Example answer35% chance per transferAge 34 · about 1 in 3What are my chances with IVF?You need: Your ageOpen calculator →
- Example answer28% per cycleThen 63% after 3 cycles, 86% after 6What are my chances, using my test results?You need: Your age, AMH, Antral follicle count, Previous failed cyclesOpen calculator →
- Example answer48% chance per transferDonor 26, recipient 42What are my chances with donor eggs?You need: Donor age, Recipient ageOpen calculator →
Read next
Guides that explain this result in more depth.

Want a doctor to look at your result?
A fertility specialist can review your numbers with your scans and history.
Dr Ashalatha GaneshFertility & IVF · Kalyan Nagar
Dr Pavithra MFertility & IVF · Kalyan Nagar
Dr Sushma P PampanavarGynaecology & fertility
Dr Aruna SahadevGynaecology & fertility · RR Nagar
Dr Siri VGynaecology & fertility · Kalyan Nagar
Every doctor is registered with the Karnataka Medical Council.
This is an average for people with your inputs, not a prediction for you. It does not diagnose anything.
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